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FirstEnergy's Cornucopia Runneth Over

10/4/2017

2 Comments

 
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What happens when a company plants too many greed seeds and they all ripen at the same time?  Dilemma!

FirstEnergy has been experiencing a serious issue with low market prices in PJM making its merchant coal-fired generators unprofitable over the past few years.  FirstEnergy's merchant generation company is in serious trouble, with the word "bankruptcy" being mentioned more than once.  These generators operate on a market basis -- that the cost to produce power (plus a profit) is recovered in the sales they make.  If it costs more to produce power than can be recovered through sales, then these generators create a loss, not a profit.

Instead of simply selling these money-losers at a loss and shedding the liability though, FirstEnergy got greedy and has tried to turn them into a profit for the company.  FirstEnergy has been busy trying to stash these plants into its affiliates' regulated rate base in fully regulated states like West Virginia.  Once successful, the plant can earn "cost of service" rates at the state level, where FirstEnergy is fully compensated for the cost of operating the plant, plus a regulated profit, by captive ratepayers.  Any excess generation produced not needed by affiliate load is sold in the unprofitable regional energy market.  And affiliates don't need the generation from these plants when they can purchase cheap power in regional markets instead.  Any loss from selling excess power at rates that don't cover the cost to produce it are covered by the affiliates' captive ratepayers.  Such a scheme!  Why it's positively brilliant to generate a profit from an asset that has been producing a loss!

And so that's what FirstEnergy did.  It sold its money-losing Harrison Power Station to Mon Power and Potomac Edison, which has produced a $160M loss to ratepayers in just a few short years.  And it is currently deep into the process of selling its Pleasants Power Station to Mon Power and Potomac Edison as well, which will produce additional losses for ratepayers in the future.

But then what happens if the energy markets recover and coal-fired plants are once again made profitable through new revenue streams meant to compensate them for "resilience" and other currently uncompensated benefits provided by baseload generators with on-site fuel supplies?  Will new market rules make merchant generators profitable again?  Will FirstEnergy suddenly want to own merchant baseload plants again?  And, more importantly, will Mon Power and Potomac Edison suddenly want to "sell" these formerly merchant plants back to its merchant generation affiliate because they make more money as merchants than they can in a state regulated system?

What's a greedy company to do?

FirstEnergy, along with other merchant generators, has been pumping the political well for years trying to find some mechanism to make merchant plants profitable again by raising market prices.  When that didn't happen quickly enough, FirstEnergy charted a course to dump its unprofitable merchant generators in the state regulated system.

But suddenly, the political seed has sprouted!  Last week, Secretary of Energy Rick Perry lobbed a curve ball at FirstEnergy.  Perry issued a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking at FERC that requires:
Each Commission-approved independent system operator or regional transmission organization shall establish a tariff that provides a just and reasonable rate for the (A) purchase of electric energy from an eligible reliability and resiliency resource and (B) recovery of costs and a return on equity for such resource dispatched during grid operations. The just and reasonable rate shall include pricing to ensure that each eligible resource is fully compensated for the benefits and services it provides to grid operations, including reliability, resiliency, and on-site fuel assurance, and that each eligible resource recovers its fully allocated costs and a fair return on equity.
The Rulemaking also defined just which resources would not be subject to the new rule, such as those generators "subject to cost of service rate regulation by any state or local regulatory authority."

So, if FirstEnergy is successful in "selling" Pleasants to state regulated Mon Power and Potomac Edison, it cannot take advantage of any new rule to make its merchant plants profitable again.

FirstEnergy must now consider a gamble.  Will the new rule happen, and if it does, will it make Pleasants more profitable than it might be in the state regulated system?  Or should it continue on with its plans to sell Pleasants into the state regulated system and possibly lose future profits?  Or might FirstEnergy have the best of both worlds by selling Pleasants into the state regulated system now, with the intent of buying it back at a later date if the new rule happens and it proves more profitable to operate the plant as a merchant generator?  After all, the West Virginia Public Service Commission is just a patsy, standing by to assist while FirstEnergy buys and sells generators into and out of the state regulated system in order to squeak the most profit out of them.

Will West Virginia ratepayers be left holding the bag on FirstEnergy's losses from Pleasants forever more, unable to take advantage of any new rule?  Or will FirstEnergy change its mind and decide to gamble that Pleasants will once again be profitable for them under any new rule and withdraw its request to sell Pleasants to Mon Power and Potomac Edison?  Or will the WV PSC actually grow a set and deny FirstEnergy's request to sell Pleasants, forcing the company to rely on other new alternatives to bail itself out of bankruptcy, such as new rules?
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PATH's Long Run Costs Consumers Millions

8/22/2017

3 Comments

 
Stop, hey, what's that sound
Everybody look what's going down
That's the sound of electric ratepayers taking a $7.4M kick in the shorts.

This afternoon, PATH auctioned off its last remaining properties in the tri-state area that it senselessly purchased for a high-voltage transmission line that was never built and never even needed.

PATH paid $8,714,553 for the seven parcels of land that were auctioned today.  The total auction sales today amounted to $1,240,100.  This leaves a delta of $7,474,453.  And who pays for that?   You do.  I do.  Every one of PJM's 65 million ratepayers pays a share.

But that's not all.  We've also paid PATH a return (interest) on these properties ever since they were purchased.  We continued to pay a return on these properties even after PATH was abandoned in 2012.  While PATH marketed and sold some of the properties it owned during the last 5 years, it never marketed the very expensive substation properties.  Instead, PATH told federal regulators it was going to transfer these properties to its affiliates "in the future."

Well, the future finally arrived today, and the Kemptown substation site was sold to the highest bidder.  PATH was so anxious to have the site that it paid $6,830,553 for it back in 2008.  Wanna know what it fetched at auction?  You're a glutton for punishment, aren't you?  The proposed Kemptown substation site sold for only $960,000.  That's a difference of $5,870,553.  I think perhaps PATH overpaid, and then failed to get a good price for it by complete and utter failure to market the property.  But why should they?  You picked up the tab, and the more PATH spent, the more it made.

PATH also sold a couple of lots on Big Woods Road.  It purchased the lots for $860,000.  The lots sold for $105,000.  That's a loss of $755,000.

PATH sold the last two of several lots it spent $4.5M purchasing at Rivers Edge Subdivision in Loudoun County for the purpose of trying to force the release of a conservation easement held by the county.  Lot 5, containing 17 acres, with a 500kV transmission line cutting it right in half, fetched a whopping $64,000.  PATH paid $285,000 for the same lot back in 2009.  That's a loss of $221,000.

Lot 12 in Rivers Edge, an irregularly shaped lot consisting of 43 acres chopped all to hell and back by the same 500 kV transmission line went for $111,000.  PATH paid $689,000 for it.  That's a loss of $578,000.

And, finally, just over half an acre of West Virginia property bisected by a subdivision road fetched a whopping $100.  Yup, that's right.  A piece of property PATH wanted so badly that it paid $50,000 for it has pretty much no value whatsoever.  Not only does the new owner get to pay taxes on their purchase, but also subdivision road fees.  What a bargain!  This property is a loss of $49,900, but I think we should be thankful that we didn't have to pay anyone to take it.

So, who bought these properties?  I don't know.  The bidders were identified only by numbers.  What will the new owners do with the properties?  Who knows... but I think one of them is still zoned agricultural...
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Nice touch holding the auction in the same hotel where PATH held its "Open House" meeting for landowners back in the fall of 2008.  Hey, remember when PATH made the Holiday Inn staff go outside and take away the table borrowed by the opposition to display literature?  Good times, good times.  Getting the stink eye from the two old farts in AEP logo polo shirts was just like old times, too bad they ran for their lives before we could stop and say "hi."

Is this what PJM means when they say, "PJM is charged with planning for the future so that consumers have the most cost-efficient power when they need it.  This solution is the most reliable and cost effective and will save consumers million in the long run."?  I'm pretty sure PJM said those same things about PATH.  And PJM was wrong.  And that's cost consumers millions in the long run.  And what a long, long, loooooong run it's been.
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Abandoned PATH Properties, Get Your Abandoned PATH Properties Here!

8/8/2017

1 Comment

 
PATH is holding a fire sale this month on all those abandoned properties it purchased nearly 10 years ago.  Need a gigantic farm property that's not zoned for an electric substation? 
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How about a nice vacation cabin in West Virginia that's been sitting vacant and rotting for years? 
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Or perhaps you're in the market for a big lot in a very exclusive Loudoun County, Virginia, subdivision and you don't mind having high voltage transmission lines running through the middle of your property?
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Then don't miss these PATH absolute auctions on August 22 and August 23!

Finally, 5 years after the PATH 765-kV transmission line project was officially abandoned by PJM Interconnection and the PATH companies, the property PATH bought with your money is being auctioned off.  PATH has been marketing some of these properties for years, with no takers.  What kind of a property is marketed for 5 years with no offers?  What's wrong with these properties?  Buyer beware!

While actively seeking to build the project between 2008 and 2011, PATH purchased outright around $30M worth of real estate to be used as future substations and right of way for its transmission project.  Each property has some story attached that serves as an excuse for purchasing it way above its market value at that point in time.  Need an ending point for your project?  Purchase a farm zoned agricultural and then set about battling the county about re-zoning it.  Need to have a conservation easement lifted?  Purchase a bunch of property near the easement and then hire lobbyists to influence the governmental entity that holds the easement to release it.  See an opportunity property where the owners are struggling financially?  Purchase it now and worry about how you may use it later.  After all, it's not YOUR money, it's coming out of electric ratepayer wallets, and you're earning a big fat return on every dollar you spend.

How much return?  Well, initially, 14.3%, later 12.9%, later still 10.9%, even later 10.4%, and finally, 8.11%.  As long as you own those properties, you may collect the corresponding return on your investment from ratepayers. 

But when you sell the properties, you must credit the sale price to your unpaid balance upon which the return is calculated.  For example, if the balance of your investment is $100, and you sell a property that is included in that balance for $5, then your new balance is $95.  An 10% return on $100 is $10.  A 10% return on $95 is $9.50.  So, by holding onto your properties as long as possible, you will collect the maximum amount of return.  So it really wouldn't help your profit margin to sell these unneeded properties quickly.  You must hold on to them until the rest of the ratepayer debt is paid and a regulator orders you to dispose of them, then auction them off at fire sale prices and make the ratepayers pay all the auction and commission expenses off the top of the credit they will realize from the sale of property.  And then you can hope the ratepayers don't find out about it.

Whoopsie!!!

So, for all those PATH opponents who have been living in suspended animation for the past 5 years wondering if PATH was going to dream up another project to use those properties for a transmission line, you're released from your continuing torture.  The PATH companies are finally going away and won't be using the properties for a future transmission project.  Now you only have to worry about what a new owner may do with the properties.  And how much you ultimately paid, of course.  Creative accounting, and feigned uncertainty combined with a failure to effectively market vacant property, will squeeze the last possible penny out of your wallet.

PATH... the gift that keeps on taking.

How do these guys sleep at night?
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Potomac Edison Receives Fine for Maryland Meter Reading Failure

6/23/2017

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The Maryland Public Service Commission finally got around to issuing an Order on the great Potomac Edison meter reading failure of 2011-2012, a full six years after the ratepayers it serves were harmed.  Six years!!

A press release from Doug Kaplan of The Sugarloaf Conservancy tells the story.
For years the citizens of Maryland have been waiting to find out whether the Public Service Commission really cares about justice and protecting the public. We have our answer. The answer is NO!

The Maryland Public Service Commission (PSC) in their recent Order has taken a position in support of Potomac Edison (PE) on the major issue, against ratepayers’ interests. The Commissioners’ decision is in conflict with both their own Judge’s determination and the West Virginia Public Service Commissioners on the same issue.

The most important decision on this matter was whether or not to require PE to read meters monthly. The PSC Commissioners, as usual, supported the utility company when they overturned the Order issued by the Judge who heard the case.

This should have been expected because in every meeting and mediation, PE’s attorney would declare that PE will not do monthly reads! Apparently lawyers and attorneys trump justice every time! We now know our PSC stands for money in politicians’ and big businesses’ pockets without concern for the problems and concerns of the people or justice at all.

As a brief history, in May 2012, as President of Sugarloaf Conservancy (Doug) filed a formal complaint with the PSC asking them to “establish a formal case to investigate this matter” in response to members’ complaints about PE meter reading practices.  These practices included the failure of the company to read meters bimonthly as required, using inaccurate estimations, which caused substantial over and under billings. Both situations have negative ramifications causing harm to those who can least afford to pay overcharges or large catch-up bills.

A case was finally opened in April 2013. After years of delay the Judge in May 2016 ruled against PE. In part of his Order he stated, “I find that PE's meter reading tariff must be modified to require an actual reading on a monthly schedule...” (as is the case with all other electric utilities in Maryland).  PE appealed the Judge’s Order. A year passed without any decision by the Commissioners. On May 16th, in a letter sent to the PSC, we insisted they fulfill their obligation. Finally on June 19th, the PSC issued an Order.

The Order upholds most of the findings of the Judge’s ruling, including that PE must submit a monthly report for 24 months; pay a minor penalty of $25,000; offer a payment plan to those customers who receive a substantially low estimate bill, followed by a substantial catch up bill the following month; modify their bill to clearly show when an estimate occurs and the reason for not reading the meter.  The reversal of the Judge’s Order to require PE to read meters monthly is in stark contrast to a similar case in West Virginia. West Virginia took less than a month to open a case after the issue was raised whereas the Maryland PSC waited a year after we asked for an investigation; Maryland dragged out the case for four years before the Commissioners issued a final Order; West Virginia issued a comprehensive ruling against PE including the requirement that they read meters on a monthly basis after only a year.  Maryland PSC Order required PE address only 4 areas of concern whereas in West Virginia their PSC hit PE on twelve major requirements.

There is great concern that this slap on the wrist will embolden PE to resume their past business practices, which have caused severe harm to so many.  Unfortunately the losers will be the senior citizens on a fixed income and the poor who can least afford to either pay for electricity they have not consumed or be hit with a sizable catch-up bill.  The Commissioners, through this Order, confirmed their past history of supporting utility companies at the expense of ratepayers in Maryland. This pattern should be disturbing to everyone and unfortunately will not likely change.
Two different states... two different results for the same problem.

FirstEnergy, Potomac Edison's parent company, screwed up.  In the wake of FirstEnergy's take over of the former Allegheny Energy, FirstEnergy decided to scrap Allegheny's bi-monthly meter reading procedures and replace them with FirstEnergy's meter reading practices.  Except FE's meter reading practices were designed for companies who read meters monthly.  When a reading is skipped at a monthly read company, the issue can resolve itself the very next month.  However, when this scheme is applied to a bi-monthly read company, the problem often cannot right itself for several months, because the read cycle is 60 days long, instead of 30.

Combine this with FE's changes to meter reading personnel, including crappy pay and requiring the use of a personal vehicle, and suddenly there weren't many meter readers available to catch up on missed reads.

Disaster!

It shouldn't take a rocket scientist to figure out where the mistakes were made.  FirstEnergy is just that stupid, folks.  Instead of fixing its problems, the company had to be dragged kicking and screaming into costly regulatory hearings because it refused to admit that it had done anything wrong.

Now the citizens of West Virginia pay double the cost for monthly meter reading, and Maryland holds its breath hoping that the stupidity doesn't once again rule supreme on a bi-monthly read schedule.

This whole debacle was caused by a clumsily managed merger that both PSCs approved with nary a care.  The only consequences were to the hundreds of electric customers who paid the ultimate price of inaccurate bills, electric shut offs, and endless payment plans.

Oh, and a $25K fine.  Which ought to come out of some fat ass executive's pay for performance bonus (he'll hardly notice it), but sadly will probably find its way back into the electric rates you pay.  And pay.  And pay.  And pay.
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Democracy in Action (Ut-oh, FirstEnergy!)

3/31/2017

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New Jersey BPU Administrative Law Judge Gail Cookson called a public hearing on FirstEnergy affiliate Jersey Central Power & Light's plan to build a new transmission line in Monmouth County "democracy in action" on Wednesday night.

More than 3,000 people showed up for the hearing at a local community college over the course of the evening, all of them opposed.  The comments were heart felt and heart wrenching.  The people told their stories to the judge.  The people rocked this hearing!

Everyone was wearing a sticker.  The stickers said, "My name is..." followed by that particular person's distance to JCP&L's proposed transmission line.
 Among the sea of red t-shirts, jackets, hats and signs were small, blue stickers, each handwritten with a different number. It was a description, in feet, of how far their home was situated from a proposed JCP&L power line poles. For some, it was a couple thousand feet. For others, it a few hundred feet. And there were those whose number was expressed in two digits.
That's how these people may be seen by FirstEnergy and regulators... just a number, a statistic, a casualty of a project the company insists must be built.  Putting faces and personal stories on these numbers made it real.  Brilliant!

But let's go back to those numbers... two digits?  People will be living less than 100 feet from power line poles if this project is built?  How could that happen if a transmission line is properly sited on sufficient right-of-way?  JCP&L's proposed project is 230kV.  A quick google search shows that "typical" right-of-way width for 230kV transmission lines is 100-160 feet.  Utility American Electric Power gets a little more specific in its "Encroachments on Transmission Rights of Way" document.  AEP says typical rights of way for 230kV lines are 120-150 feet in urban areas, and 150 feet in rural areas.  AEP also cautions:
Buildings, building extensions and additions (homes, businesses, garages, barns), swimming pools, above ground fuel tanks, tall signs or billboards, tall trees, obstructions and mounding of soil in the right of way are encroachments that are prohibited.
Transmission lines are usually sited in the center of the right of way, with equal distance on either side from the pole holding conductors, to ensure proper clearance for the line.  Therefore, a 120 ft. right of way would create a buffer zone of 60 feet on either side of the transmission pole.

Now let's look at JCP&L's proposal.  The company proposes:
[a] minimum of a 60 ft. wide corridor will be cleared (30 ft. from either side of conductor or approximately 45 ft. from centerline of the poles on the rail side and 15 ft. from centerline of the poles on the opposite side/vacant side of pole).
JCP&L believes it can site its project on a 60 ft. right of way, half the size used by other utilities for a project of that voltage.  And JCP&L won't even center its project in the narrow right of way.  It allows 45 feet clearance between the centerline of the poles and the commuter trains passing along nearly directly underneath 230,000 volts of electricity on one side, and a mere 15 feet clearance between the centerline of the pole and the backyards of thousands of people on the other.  The pole itself is at least 8 feet wide, so the distance from the edge of the pole to a person's backyard may actually be around 10 feet.  Here's what that looks like:
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Go here to view the entire slide show in a larger format, as well as a JCP&L photo simulation of what the finished product would look like.
Lots of those residential properties have sheds, pools, and other backyard structures located near the property line that would ordinarily be within a typical sized right of way.  The properties also have vegetative buffers abutting the commuter train right of way.  Here's how JCP&L plans to deal with all that stuff within feet of its new monopoles.
JCP&L will clear the NJT and JCP&L ROW to the specified width in accordance with the FirstEnergy Initial Clearing of Transmission Lines Specification and the FirstEnergy Detailed Property and Provision List. Trees located outside the ROW which are deemed Priority Trees shall be removed. Priority Trees are defined as trees located adjacent to transmission corridors that are dead, dying, diseased, structurally defective, leaning or significantly encroaching, where the transmission facilities are at risk of arcing or failing should the tree or portions of the tree (1) fall into or near the transmission facilities; or (2) grow into or towards the transmission facilities. JCP&L will obtain the necessary rights from applicable property owners before removing trees and vegetation both on and off the ROW.
JCP&L proposed a "vegetation right of way" over the residential properties, and if landowners don't voluntarily agree to this violation of their backyard sanctity, JCP&L proposed using eminent domain to obtain a legal right to encroach upon the residential properties.

Watch a video featuring views of the actual rail right of way here.  Does it look like there's room to install a transmission line on that right of way?  It doesn't to me.

JCP&L's plan is insane!  This isn't your typical "not in my backyard" reaction to a transmission line. 

And consider that the "violation" this project is supposed to fix is rather minor -- to provide a third back up in case existing lines fail.  There has to be a better way!

What were you thinking, JCP&L?  It's only a 10-mile line... it won't gather much opposition... and these folks already live next to a set of train tracks.  They won't notice or care?

They do care, very much.  Opposition has been huge and fierce.  FirstEnergy's usual playbook tactic of creating the appearance of support for a transmission project to "balance out" opposition before regulators has massively failed.  At Wednesday night's public hearing, not one person giving comment supported this project.  JCP&L said,
“This meeting tonight was to hear what the public had to say,” said JCP&L spokesman Ron Morano. “We elected to not have any supporters speak at this event.”
How is it that JCP&L controls all public support for its project?  If JCP&L controls support, than it's not truly independent support, it's paid advocacy -- people acting as puppets to spew JCP&L talking points.  And this lack of grassroots support came after JCP&L spent buckets of money on door-to-door petition gatherers.
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And misleading mass mailers with postage-paid return cards
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And yet not one person was inspired enough to show up at the public hearing to voice support for this project.  JCP&L told them not to come.

I'm having a hard time believing that.  Did JCP&L waste all this time and money trying to buy advocacy only to submit a sanitized list of names of "supporters" to the BPU at a later date?  Or did the BPU finally call JCP&L out on all this nonsense and suggest that it not "elect" to have its supporters speak at the public hearing for fear that it may cause a riot?

So, public hearing safely in the can.  JCP&L lost big time in the court of public opinion.  Was democracy in action enough to sway the judge to recommend modifications to, or outright denial of, JCP&L's project?  Time will tell.  Formal evidentiary hearings before the judge begin next week.

You can follow along to find out the ultimate disposition of this horrific utility plan by liking Residents Against Giant Electric (RAGE) on facebook here and here.  And you just might find yourself wanting to join in this community's RAGE against FirstEnergy.
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Congressman Wants To Know Who's Paying for JCP&L Transmission Line Advocacy

3/29/2017

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Yesterday, NJ Congressman Frank Pallone sent a letter to the NJ Board of Public Utilities requesting that the regulator open an audit of JCP&L to ensure that the company is not using ratepayer funds to underwrite its lobbying campaign.

Ut-oh, JCP&L!  Yes, your stated rate is not transparent.  You receive a set amount of money from the ratepayers to run your utility, and how you spend that money is pretty much up to you.  But, the thing is, the amount of money you waste on advocacy campaigns is money you don't spend repairing and modernizing your decrepit distribution system, and that causes outages.  While utility customers can directly benefit from repairs and upgrades to the system, nobody is directly benefiting from phone calls, postcards, and door-to-door petitions trying to drum up support for the Monmouth County Reliability Project in advance of tonight's public hearing.

Many people may be scratching their heads over the concept that not only must they pay their own expenses to oppose this awful project, but they're also on the hook for the cost of JCP&L buying support for its project.  You pay to fight them, and you pay for them to fight you.  Something's indeed wrong with this picture.

JCP&L's response to Congressman Pallone's letter:
JCP&L spokesman Ron Morano said the utility is following procedures. "All costs associated with the project will be reviewed as part of that process," Morano said.
Reviewed by whom?  The fox inside the hen house?  Whose procedures?  JCP&L's?  I'm not sure when I've heard a more weaselly statement.

And speaking of weasels and other predatory animals, I gotta say that you've outdone yourself with the bullshit this time, FirstEnergy!  But let's be real here, all your efforts to create advocacy for your project will fail because nobody will go out of their way to support a transmission project unless they're being paid to do so.  As if some random person will drive across the county, stand in a long line, and then sit for hours in a crowded auditorium waiting for a chance to speak in support of a transmission line  they've only recently heard of from a door-to-door day laborer... FOR FREE?  Surely you jest!  Whatever meager appearance of support you manage to milk out of your recent advocacy buy cannot stand up to the honest, forthright and committed opposition to your project.  In fact, perhaps the only thing you've accomplished is to tick off even more people who ordinarily wouldn't have paid any attention to your project.  You know how it goes...
"I fear all we have done is to awaken a sleeping giant and fill him with a terrible resolve."  --  Isoroku Yamamoto
I see FirstEnergy's media event yesterday got photo bombed by protestors.  What?  No helicopter rides?  Is that because its proposed route would only increase scrutiny?  Jamming a 230kV transmission line into a very narrow commuter railroad right-of-way is insane!  Who thought that was a viable idea?  The visual of that boggles the mind!  Erecting "sleek" monopoles just 15-feet from residential property lines doesn't provide adequate right-of-way, which is probably why JCP&L wants to condemn and take an additional "vegetation" right-of-way on residential properties.  Is that just smoke and mirrors to avoid actually paying for sufficient property for your right-of-way?  Ridiculous!  JCP&L isn't fooling anyone.

So, tonight's the big night!  The second BPU public hearing on the MCRP begins at 5:30.  Opposition will be huge and fierce.  The people will tell their stories.  Fake advocacy cannot withstand the storm.  RAGE on, folks!
2 Comments

What Happens When a PJM Project Fails to Meet Milestones?

2/26/2017

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Grassroots group Residents Against Giant Electric (RAGE) continues its outstanding work against FirstEnergy's Monmouth County Reliability Project (MCRP) in urban New Jersey. 
In a recent article (and video) former NJ Transit vice-chairman Bruce Meisel vehemently opposed the MCRP, calling it "... a money grab project that puts the interests of JCP&L over the residents and ratepayers of Monmouth County.”

The significance of Meisel's opposition stems from MCRP's proposal to use New Jersey Transit's right of way for its project.  Without the approval of the NJT board, this project isn't happening.

The article says Meisel was most affected by the number of signs and the people opposing the project across the area when he took a tour of the area late last year.  That's directly attributable to the work of RAGE, who have been very effective winning the hearts and minds of the community and local governments.

If FirstEnergy thinks it can shout down this kind of opposition with a few well-paid business or labor advocates, its got another think coming.  There's nothing FirstEnergy can do to stem the tide of opposition to its project.  It's over.  MCRP lost.  Projects with this kind of political opposition never get approved.  Time for Plan B.

In recent press, FirstEnergy has been turning with increased frequency to what it may feel is its most powerful weapon... PJM Interconnection.
JCP&L has been consistent on the project’s need, which stems from a decision made by PJM Interconnection, a regional grid operator that oversees 13 states and the District of Columbia – New Jersey being one of those 13. PJM has stated that a 2011 review found that Monmouth County’s electrical system violates reliability criteria.
FirstEnergy has quickly gotten to the bottom of its bag of tricks and pulled out what it may feel is its trump card.  PJM says it's needed and therefore there is nothing anyone can do about it.  FirstEnergy wants its opposition to believe that PJM's approval of the project is the final word and that there are no alternatives.  FirstEnergy wants its opposition to believe PJM is an omnipotent authority whose word can never be questioned.

Most people have never heard of PJM.  PJM is a mystery to the average electric consumer, and after years of watching the PJM dance, I'd have to conclude that PJM likes it this way.  PJM has never seen any value in making itself understandable and accessible to the consumers it serves.  While touting itself as "transparent" and open to any "stakeholders," PJM is a hopelessly bureaucratic and technical maze that electric consumers aren't supposed to figure out.  Sort of like this guy:
PJM describes itself as:
PJM Interconnection is a regional transmission organization (RTO) that coordinates the movement of wholesale electricity in all or parts of Delaware, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, New Jersey, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Virginia, West Virginia and the District of Columbia.

Acting as a neutral, independent party, PJM operates a competitive wholesale electricity market and manages the high-voltage electricity grid to ensure reliability for more than 65 million people.

PJM’s long-term regional planning process provides a broad, interstate perspective that identifies the most effective and cost-efficient improvements to the grid to ensure reliability and economic benefits on a system wide basis.

An independent Board oversees PJM’s activities. Effective governance and a collaborative stakeholder process help PJM achieve its vision: “To be the electric industry leader – today and tomorrow – in reliable operations, efficient wholesale markets, and infrastructure development.”
PJM's planning process uses NERC criteria to define reliability violations that must be remedied.  Who is NERC?
The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) is a not-for-profit international regulatory authority whose mission is to assure the reliability and security of the bulk power system in North America. NERC develops and enforces Reliability Standards; annually assesses seasonal and long‐term reliability; monitors the bulk power system through system awareness; and educates, trains, and certifies industry personnel. NERC’s area of responsibility spans the continental United States, Canada, and the northern portion of Baja California, Mexico. NERC is the electric reliability organization for North America, subject to oversight by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission and governmental authorities in Canada. NERC’s jurisdiction includes users, owners, and operators of the bulk power system, which serves more than 334 million people.
Had enough acronyms yet?  This industry loves acronyms, it's their own special language that you aren't supposed to understand!

So, NERC sets reliability standards, and PJM uses NERC's standards in its planning process.  PJM and NERC are membership organizations.  Who are their members?  Companies with an interest in the work of the organization.  The industry sort of regulates itself within these organizations.  If the organizations are controlled by their members, and their members are the industry, then PJM and NERC are controlled by the companies they regulate.  PJM didn't use NERC violations to design the MCRP.  FirstEnergy proposed the MCRP to resolve NERC violations that showed up in PJM's 2011 planning process.  PJM simply rubber stamped the incumbent utility's solution to the problem, and nobody proposed any alternatives or spoke against it, therefore it was "ordered" by PJM's Board of Managers.

In its application to the NJ BPU, FirstEnergy says MCRP was the remedy for NERC N-1-1 (or Category C) violations.  If you stack up the different types of violations, N-1-1 comes at the bottom of the stack.  N-1-1 relies on a reliability comedy of errors to occur -- that one component of the system fails, and then a bunch of other components that were supposed to act as back up for that component also fail.  FirstEnergy describes the necessity for MCRP like this:
In the 2011 RTEP, PJM identified reliability criteria violations of NERC Category P7 (previously NERC Category C) contingencies for the outage of the Atlantic-Red Bank (S1033) 230 kV line and the No. 2, 230-34.5 kV transformer with the loss of the Atlantic-Red Bank (T2020) 230 kV line and the No. 8, 230- 34.5 kV transformer due to failure of a common structure containing both circuits. JCP&L confirmed this contingency may result in more than 700 MW of load loss, well above the 300 MW loss of load criterion limit, which violates the JCP&L Planning Criteria as well as PJM planning criteria. The JCP&L-proposed Project was confirmed by PJM that it adequately addresses the reliability criteria violation.
So, one transmission line is out, and then a transformer fails, and then another transmission line goes out, and then another transformer fails.... and then you need the MCRP to provide service.  That's 2 transmission lines and 2 transformers, all out of service at the exact same moment.  Chances of that happening?  Not likely, but it could happen, in theory.  However, it's not likely that failure to build the MCRP as proposed is going to make the lights in New Jersey go off in the near future.  Because if we want to play the "what-if" game, what if the MCRP also fails after the other 2 transmission lines and the other 2 transformers fail?  But NERC doesn't go that far out in its "what if" game, because it starts to get a little ridiculous.... and expensive.

A NERC violation was identified by PJM, FirstEnergy's JCP&L came up with a "back of the envelope" solution, PJM's Board of Managers approved the solution and assigned construction to JCP&L with a June 1, 2016 in-service date.  And then JCP&L began trying to implement their proposed solution.  The next year, JCP&L notified PJM that they couldn't get it done in time and proposed an extension of the in-service date to June 1, 2017.  And then JCP&L notified PJM a second time that the projected in-service date is now June 1, 2019.  In its application, FirstEnergy shares
PJM has not changed their required date for the project, but has listed the projected in-service date as June 1, 2019 in the RTEP Transmission Construction Status database... Note the PJM Required Date is the date the violation is initially identified to occur.
Apparently the violation keeps slipping out in time to keep pace with JCP&L's failure to get its proposed project accomplished.  How convenient!  I guess this "violation" isn't as urgent as FirstEnergy claims.  If the two transmission lines and two transformers fail tomorrow, PJM will still be able to keep the lights on using other components of the system.  But if the failure happens on June 1, 2017 (or 2019?), the lights will go out unless MCRP is there to pick up the slack.  Seems pretty improbable, doesn't it?

Nevertheless, as a member of PJM, FirstEnergy's JCP&L was assigned construction responsibility for the MCRP.  Membership comes with responsibilities.  Members pledge to follow PJM's operating rules, such as constructing projects which they are assigned.  The PJM Operating Agreement obligates the member to build, but it also gives the member an "out" if things go wrong with the project, such as a failure to secure required state or local permits.
1.7 Obligation to Build.
(a) Subject to the requirements of applicable law, government regulations and approvals, including, without limitation, requirements to obtain any necessary state or local siting, construction and operating permits, to the availability of required financing, to the ability to acquire necessary right-of-way, and to the right to recover, pursuant to appropriate financial arrangements and tariffs or contracts, all reasonably incurred costs, plus a reasonable return on investment, Transmission Owners or Designated Entities designated as the appropriate entities to construct, own and/or finance enhancements or expansions specified in the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan shall construct, own and/or finance such facilities or enter into appropriate contracts to fulfill such obligations.
PJM monitors the project's progress to meet certain milestones.
1.5.8 (j) Acceptance of Designation. Within 30 days of receiving notification of its designation as a Designated Entity, the existing Transmission Owner or Nonincumbent Developer shall notify the Office of the Interconnection of its acceptance of such designation and submit to the Office of the Interconnection a development schedule, which shall include, but not be limited to, milestones necessary to develop and construct the project to achieve the required in-service date, including milestone dates for obtaining all necessary authorizations and approvals, including but not limited to, state approvals.
 
1.5.8 (k) Failure of Designated Entity to Meet Milestones. In the event the Designated Entity fails to comply with one or more of the requirements of Section 1.5.8(j); or fails to meet a milestone in the development schedule set forth in the Designated Entity Agreement that causes a delay of the project’s in-service date, the Office of the Interconnection shall re-evaluate the need for the Short-term Project or Long-lead Project, and based on that re-evaluation may: (i) retain the Short-term Project or Long-lead Project in the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan; (ii) remove the Short-term Project or Long-lead Project from the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan; or (iii) include an alternative solution in the Regional Transmission Expansion Plan.

PJM isn't so much wedded to a certain project as it is compelled to find a solution to impending violations.  A project that fails to be permitted goes back to the drawing board, and PJM works with the utility to find an alternative solution that can be permitted.  Ill-conceived projects that draw staunch, sustained and wide-spread opposition rarely get permitted.  Who's monitoring JCP&L's "milestones" on the MCRP project?  Is PJM actively and independently monitoring MCRP's milestones, or are they simply taking FirstEnergy's word for it that its MCRP is on schedule and meeting milestones?  JCP&L's poor execution of this project has already cost the consumers three years of reduced reliability.  At what point will PJM "re-evaluate" the MCRP instead of simply shifting the milestones JCP&L fails to meet into the future?

While it is true that PJM has identified MCRP as the solution to future violations, that's only part of the story.  PJM can act to re-evaluate a failing project to come up with a better solution to prevent reliability violations.  PJM's mission is reliability, not adhering to rigid project concepts proposed by its members.  In fact, PJM transmission projects are suspended, canceled, or re-evaluated frequently.  PJM's approval of a certain project does not set its completion in stone.  PJM is subject to the outside forces of state regulators, who hold the ultimate authority to permit a certain project.  And state regulators are subject to the outside forces of state citizens who may support or oppose certain projects that are proposed.  The NJ BPU must weigh the benefits of the project against its detriments and find that the benefits outweigh the detriments.  If it does not find the MCRP beneficial, the NJ BPU may deny the project a permit.  And then it would be kicked back to PJM to come up with an alternative solution.  This sounds like a very long and expensive road, and ultimately it could cost JCP&L customers their reliable electric service. 

When will it be time for PJM to pull the plug on the MCRP?  Now, while there's still time to find an alternative solution to looming reliability violations?  Or later, when the lights go out?
0 Comments

FirstEnergy Needs You To Toss Them a Rope

1/12/2017

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Awwww.... FirstEnergy had a bad year in 2016.
"There's blood in the water," Jones said in an October interview.

He added, "We've reduced benefits, we've reduced 401(k) matches, we froze wages. We've done a lot of things to try and offset lost revenue, but couldn't offset it entirely … We're evaluating everything we do as a company to try and find a way to close that gap. Because (what's been done so far) is not enough to get us into the position with the credit rating agencies that we need to be in."
And I'm sure Chatty Chuck took a huge pay cut and stopped wasting the company's profits on football stadium signage, too.  Wait!  What?  That didn't happen?

Well, there always selling another antique coal-fired electric generating station to captive customers in West Virginia!  I'm pretty sure they're going to try that next as a way to position themselves properly with the credit rating agencies.  Because even though FirstEnergy's money problems were of their own making, they want West Virginians to bail them out.  Again.
Pleasants, currently owned by a Mon Power sister company, Allegheny Energy Supply, is an aging, coal-fired plant that hasn’t been generating the returns investors want in Ohio’s deregulated energy marketplace. FirstEnergy CEO Charles E. Jones, on at least two occasions in 2016, told analysts the company wanted to shift plants like Pleasants that weren’t making investors enough money in Ohio into West Virginia’s regulated market, saying, “I think later this year, they’ll start (looking) at it seriously, and it’s up to (the West Virginia Public Service Commission) to decide, would Pleasants be the appropriate solution.”
And so that's what they did, issuing a narrow and completely opague Request for Proposals that could only be fulfilled by the sale of Pleasants to West Virginia regulated FirstEnergy subsidiaries Mon Power and Potomac Edison.  Once the transaction is completed, electric customers of the two local utilities will pay all the operational costs of the plant, along with a guaranteed profit.  That ought to cheer up the credit rating agencies, right?

Well, only if it happens.  Only if you allow it to happen.  What can you do?  Stay educated.  Stay tuned... 
0 Comments

Santa Stuffs FirstEnergy's Stocking Full of Serendipity

12/22/2016

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After a year of telling investment wonks that it was planning to sell another one of its unprofitable coal-fired power plants to one of its regulated affiliates, while telling everyone else it didn't need any new generation capacity, FirstEnergy gifted itself with a big ol' sack of serendipity last Friday.

FirstEnergy's Mon Power subsidiary issued a Request for Proposals to acquire 1,300 MW of generation capacity, and 100 MW of demand respone.

Serendipity!  The Pleasants power station that FirstEnergy's competitive generation affiliate wants to "sell" to Mon Power is exactly 1,300 MW!  It's like some divine power has spoken!

I'm not sure whose gift that 100 MW of demand response is supposed to be, but maybe it was designed to placate someone?  Demand response is an aggregated group of power customers who agree to cut their usage during periods of high demand in exchange for payments.  So, why not 1,300 MW of demand response and 100 MW of generation?  Why not 100 MW of demand response and a 1,300 MW power purchase agreement from an economical regional generation source?  Why must we buy the cow, when the milk is available cheaply at the market?

Anyhow, Mon Power also limited its RFP to resources in a small geographic area.  Serendipity!  Pleasants is located in that geographic area!

And after talking about this "sale" and the issuance of an RFP for months, Mon Power issues its RFP on December 16 and allows one week for eligible resources to "pre-qualify" to submit a bid later?  Be sure to get your pack of pre-qualifying paperwork in by close of business on December 23, or you won't be able to bid later and there will be no Merry Christmas for you!  Bah!  Humbug!

Seriously?  They expect everyone to believe they didn't issue this RFP so close to the holidays, with a ridiculously short lead time, in order to limit any competition with the company's own resources?  I'm sure FirstEnergy's Allegheny Energy Supply Company has its paperwork all ready to be submitted... the rest of you?  Yeah, you need to start from scratch.  Right now.

So, why should you care?  Because the last coal-fired power station that FirstEnergy "sold" to Mon Power has cost you more than $130 so far.  Each.  You've gifted FirstEnergy more than $160M, but they still want more.

FirstEnergy is in big financial trouble, and they want you to bail them out of their bad business decisions.

And they arrogantly thumb their nose at customers, competitors, and regulators alike with their serendipitous RFP.  They must think this is a funny game, but uncompetitive RFPs can get companies in lots and lots of trouble.

What can you do in the mean time?  Why don't you ask Mon Power a question, such as why their RFP is so ridiculously unfair?  Or ask if Scrooge helped them with their response dates?

FirstEnergy doesn't even care how bad they look.  I guess they think they have this in the bag.  Stay tuned, pitckfork wielders...
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WV PSC Follows Utility Lead

10/28/2016

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It's really not surprising that our West Virginia Public Service Commissioners continue to fail at leading utilities to act in the best interest of the state's consumers.  In a state where Public Service Commission appointments are looked at as political favors, an ill-informed and uninspired regulator continues to march to the beat of utility profits.

Recently, the WV PSC dismissed a petition filed by its own staff and the WV Consumer Advocate to require electric utilities Mon Power and Potomac Edison to issue a Request for Proposals before buying another generator from its parent company in an intimate and opaque non-arm's-length transaction.

The WV PSC found the petition "premature" because the companies have not yet filed an action to purchase more generation.

The PSC previously rejected a motion by the same parties to require the companies to issue an RFP for new generation it claimed would be needed in its Integrated Resource Plan last year.

The PSC contends that the requirement to file an Integrated Resource Plan does not allow the PSC to approve or reject a utility's plan, therefore it must powerlessly follow a utility's lead.  The PSC also contends that the companies' promise to issue an RFP for new generation that was part of its settlement in the case that allowed its last inter-company purchase of generation has not been triggered.  The WV PSC sits trussed up on the floor like a prisoner, unable and unwilling to act in the best interests of West Virginia's electric consumers, completely useless.

It's word soup and double standards that has the PSC ineffectually sitting on their hands.  The last time the companies needed to purchase generation in an internal transaction (Harrison), they claimed there just wasn't time to issue an RFP because the need was way too urgent.  If that was the case, then the utilities had not planned correctly.  The settlement that allowed the purchase of Harrison required:
If the Companies determine in any annual PJM Base Residual Auction (“BRA”) that their combined capacity obligations for the delivery year covered by the BRA (“Delivery Year”) exceed the Companies’ owned or contracted-for capacity resources for the Delivery Year by 100 MW or more (“Capacity Shortfall”), then not later than the end of the calendar year following the BRA, the Companies will develop an RFP for capacity resources to address the Capacity Shortfall and submit the RFP to the Commission and the Parties for their review and comment. The RFP will allow proposals from both supply-side and demand-side resources.
Everyone hoped that the companies would honor this commitment.

However, the companies turned around and filed an Integrated Resource Plan contending a generation shortfall.  In that filing, the companies used a different method to calculate the shortfall that did not depend on PJM's Base Residual Auction.
Mon Power’s Long Term Load Forecast indicates a capacity shortfall starting in 2016, with the shortfall exceeding 700 MW by 2020 and extending to over 850 MW by 2027.
While PJM's auction may not require the companies to acquire more generation, the companies used a different method to calculate a shortfall, and then claimed that it was not required to issue an RFP because PJM's auction didn't indicate the same shortfall.

And the WV PSC let them get away with it!  If the PSC wants to use the companies' method to calculate generation needs, then it should never have approved the settlement stipulation that used PJM's method.  Conversely, if the PSC approved the stipulation that used PJM's method for calculating generation needs, then it should never have allowed the companies to use a different method in its Integrated Resource Plan.  They simply can't have it both ways!  Either they have a generation shortfall, or they don't.  The WV PSC needs to quit dithering and sitting on its hands.

FirstEnergy has made it perfectly clear that it intends to make Mon Power and Potomac Edison purchase the Pleasants power station.
We will continue to seek opportunities both within the competitive realm and the states to further de-risk the business and convert megawatts from competitive markets to a regulated or regulated-like construct.

We also plan to work with the West Virginia Public Service Commission when they are ready to address the generation shortfall included in Mon Power's integrated resource plan.

So we previously filed the IRP. It showed a need for generation going out a couple of years from now. But that case right now is concluded. So there is nothing that would, unless we were to file something, initiate something, that would come out of that case. So we would be looking as we go forward and continue to monitor the forecast for that company to see how we might want to present something consistent with the IRP in terms of bringing additional generation to Mon Power.

Michael Lapides - Goldman Sachs & Co.

Got it. So there's no formal like RFP process that's about to kick off or that will be undertaken in 2016 or 2017?

Leila L. Vespoli - Executive Vice President, Markets & Chief Legal Officer

Correct. There's no time line associated with that. We would initiate it when we believe it to be the appropriate time.
FirstEnergy management arrogantly tells its investors that it alone controls the timeline in which the WV PSC may examine its upcoming request to have Mon Power and Potomac Edison purchase more generation from the parent company.  Only FirstEnergy will decide when the time is appropriate to create another "urgent need" that the PSC must approve without initiating a fair and transparent competitive process.

The WV PSC needs to stop behaving like FirstEnergy's dog on a leash and start doing its job as a regulator tasked with balancing public and private interests to effectively serve the state's consumers.  Maybe the political appointees at the PSC need to find out what their job actually entails?  I think they all need to read this book.
The decisive regulator makes decisions (1) required by the public interest, (2) when the public interest requires it, (3) regardless of discomfort felt, (4) using a logical method and an active approach.
As long as the WV PSC continues to behave like a lapdog, FirstEnergy will continue to toss West Virginians under the bus for benefit of its company and investors.
At this time, however, we do not see any short-term solutions to the current challenging market situation. Longer-term, we do not believe competitive generation is a good fit for FirstEnergy and are focused regulated operations. And we cannot put investors and our company at risk as we wait for the country and PJM to address the issues with the current construct.
Our PSC should be refusing to put West Virginians at risk!  Let's hope they figure out what it is they're supposed to be doing before we're stuck with another costly, outdated generator.
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    About the Author

    Keryn Newman blogs here at StopPATH WV about energy issues, transmission policy, misguided regulation, our greedy energy companies and their corporate spin.
    In 2008, AEP & Allegheny Energy's PATH joint venture used their transmission line routing etch-a-sketch to draw a 765kV line across the street from her house. Oooops! And the rest is history.

    About
    StopPATH Blog

    StopPATH Blog began as a forum for information and opinion about the PATH transmission project.  The PATH project was abandoned in 2012, however, this blog was not.

    StopPATH Blog continues to bring you energy policy news and opinion from a consumer's point of view.  If it's sometimes snarky and oftentimes irreverent, just remember that the truth isn't pretty.  People come here because they want the truth, instead of the usual dreadful lies this industry continues to tell itself.  If you keep reading, I'll keep writing.


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